ANLY 405 Predictive Modeling

The development and implementation of models to predict outcomes based on input data is becoming an essential skill in modern enterprises. The objective of this course is to teach this skill. The course covers the principles of qualitative as well as quantitative models that can be used for predicting outcome based on input data. The predictions may be definitive, based on the assumptions or estimates based on probabilities. The student explores how to prepare input data, build predictive models, and assess the models by examining the output produced. Topics include: exploratory data analysis, linear regression, multiple linear regression, regression diagnostics, logistics regression, analysis of variance (ANOVA), time series and forecasting, statistical methods for process improvement, classifiers, and non-linear models. General concepts behind how software packages roll up and how they screen data and produce risk scores on topics such as in-patient probability of readmissions.